Data

SeriesIDWhere it standsIn hand throughNext published
S&P 500 daily close ↗
Yahoo Finance ^GSPC ↗ · FRED SP500 ↗ · Every trading day, 4:00 PM ET
^GSPC
7,376.86^GSPC · index points
Nov 6, 2026Nov 9, 2026
Federal funds target range, upper limit ↗
FRED DFEDTARU ↗ · At each FOMC decision, 2:00 PM ET
DFEDTARU
4.00%DFEDTARU
Nov 6, 2026Nov 7, 2026
Search week: Google searches for "unemployment" ↗Google Trends "unemployment"
68Google Trends · index, 0-100 over the past 90 days, the last complete day
Nov 5, 2026Nov 6, 2026
Commercial paper and three-month bill rates ↗DCPF1M, DCPN30, WTB3MS
3.94%DCPF1M · last printed Oct 20, 2026
3.95%DCPN30
4.02%WTB3MS
Nov 4, 2026Nov 9, 2026
Initial claims, continued claims, insured unemployment rate ↗ICSA, CCSA, IURSA
189,000ICSA · claims, seasonally adjusted
1,718,000CCSA · claims, seasonally adjusted, week ending Oct 24, 2026
1.1%IURSA · seasonally adjusted, week ending Oct 24, 2026
Oct 31, 2026Nov 12, 2026
Initial claims ↗ICSA189,000
claims, seasonally adjusted
Oct 31, 2026Nov 12, 2026
Weekly Economic Index (Lewis, Mertens and Stock), 13-week mean ↗
FRED WEI ↗ · Weekly, Thursday · line 0.0
off since Mar 11, 2021
WEI3.03
13-week mean of the index (scaled to four-quarter GDP growth, percent), line 0; the latest week 3.47
Oct 31, 2026Nov 12, 2026
State insured unemployment rates ↗ETA 539 state insured rates
9.8%ETA 539 · share of states with the insured rate 0.20 point over its 52-week low
Oct 24, 2026Nov 12, 2026
Insured unemployment rate ↗IURSA1.1%
seasonally adjusted
Oct 24, 2026Nov 12, 2026
Insured unemployment rate, not seasonally adjusted (52-week change of the 26-week average) ↗
off since Dec 16, 2023
CCNSA / COVEMP-0.111
pp, 52-week change of the 26-week average of CCNSA/COVEMP
Oct 24, 2026Nov 12, 2026
States with the insured rate accelerating (13-week average at least 0.20 point above a year earlier) ↗
off since Apr 10, 2021
ETA 539 by state0
states of 51 whose 13-week average insured rate is >= 0.20 pp above a year earlier
Oct 24, 2026Nov 12, 2026
Unemployment rate, factory hours, nondurable employment ↗UNRATE, AWHMAN, NDMANEMP, PAYEMS
4.1%UNRATE · seasonally adjusted
41.8AWHMAN · hours per week, seasonally adjusted
4,753NDMANEMP · thousands of persons, seasonally adjusted
159,293PAYEMS · thousands of persons, seasonally adjusted
Oct 2026Dec 4, 2026
Housing starts and building permits ↗
ALFRED HOUST ↗ · ALFRED PERMIT ↗ · Monthly, 8:30 AM ET
HOUST, PERMIT
1,221HOUST · thousands of units, seasonally adjusted annual rate, Sep 2026
1,398PERMIT · thousands of units, seasonally adjusted annual rate, Sep 2026
Oct 2026Nov 18, 2026
GDPNow ↗
ALFRED GDPNOW ↗ · Several times a month
GDPNOW
3.44GDPNOW · percent change from the prior quarter, seasonally adjusted annual rate
2026:Q4Nov 9, 2026
Sahm rule, real time ↗SAHMREALTIME
0.00SAHMREALTIME · percentage points
Oct 2026Dec 4, 2026
Unemployment rate ↗UNRATE4.1%
seasonally adjusted
Oct 2026Dec 4, 2026
Nonfarm payrolls ↗PAYEMS159.3 million
persons, seasonally adjusted
Oct 2026Dec 4, 2026
Michaillat and Saez's rule: the smaller of the unemployment indicator and the vacancy indicator ↗
off since Apr 3, 2026
UNRATE, JTSJOL0.0
points: the smaller of the unemployment indicator (Sahm form, first prints) and the vacancy indicator (12-month high of the 3-month mean vacancy rate over its value), line 0.29
Oct 2026Dec 4, 2026
Job openings ↗
ALFRED JTSJOL ↗ · ALFRED CLF16OV ↗ · Monthly, 10:00 AM ET
JTSJOL, CLF16OV
7,523JTSJOL · thousands of openings, seasonally adjusted
170,683CLF16OV · thousands of persons, seasonally adjusted, Oct 2026
Sep 2026Dec 1, 2026
Industrial production, as published ↗
ALFRED INDPRO ↗ · Monthly, 9:15 AM ET
INDPRO
103.9506INDPRO · index, 2017=100, seasonally adjusted
Sep 2026Nov 17, 2026
State continued weeks claimed, ETA 539 ↗ETA 539
0%ETA 539 · share of states with the insured-rate proxy 0.45 point over its twelve-month low, Sep 2026
Sep 2026Nov 21, 2026
State unemployment rates, all 51 ↗LAUS state rates (51)
12%LAUS state rates (51) · share of the 51 states whose own Sahm gap on first prints stands at or above 0.70, Sep 2026
Sep 2026Nov 20, 2026
Job openings ↗JTSJOL7.5 million
openings, seasonally adjusted
Sep 2026Dec 1, 2026
Quits rate ↗JTSQUR2.1%
seasonally adjusted
Sep 2026Dec 1, 2026
CPI inflation ↗CPIAUCSL3.7%
year over year
Sep 2026Nov 10, 2026
Chicago Fed National Activity Index, three-month average ↗
FRED CFNAIMA3 ↗ · line -0.7
off since Jul 1, 2020
CFNAIMA30.03
CFNAI three-month average
Sep 2026Nov 23, 2026
Real GDP ↗
FRED GDPC1 ↗ · Quarterly, 8:30 AM ET
GDPC1
24,611.1GDPC1 · billions of chained 2017 dollars, seasonally adjusted annual rate
2026:Q3Nov 25, 2026

Margins

BRISTOW-HALL BUSINESS CYCLE PROGRAM
Real-time dating of the American business cycle.